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| The Outlook
for Stock Markets |
Conference |
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September 29, 2005
Paris |
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The role of stock markets in the rise of the
new economy and the impact of their downturn from 2000 to 2002 have been much
documented. However despite sustained productivity gains, as well as the return
to robust growth in the United States, and in the face of very low long term interest
rates, share price performance has remained stubbornly below its record of the
1990s. What are the reasons for this? And what does the future hold for this unusual
set of circumstances?
Other issues are linked to this central question. The first one concerns the impact
of globalisation. How is the interdependence of stock markets understood and assessed?
If the driving force of world growth is shifting towards Asia, what are the likely
consequences for Western stock markets? Are European stock markets becoming more
integrated despite the difficulties of market institutions to merge?
The consequences for market traders, regulators and central banks will also be
discussed. How are institutional investors, who manage large portfolios, behaving?
What is the current state of regulation and the supervision of gatekeepers, who
are meant to underpin the efficiency of stock markets? The central bankers in
charge of monetary policy since 2001 have become aware of the influence of stock
prices and market valuations of assets on the economy . But this preoccupation
has remained informal. Is it possible to be more systematic in taking into account
the financial environment? |
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Registration |
8:30 |
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| Francis Ailhaud |
Chairman
of the CIREM
Groupama Asset Management |
Welcome address |
9:00 |
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| Gérard
Bonos |
Radio Classique |
Chairman |
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Round
Table - Market Dynamics and Interdependances |
9:15 - 10:45 |
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| Michel Aglietta |
Université
Paris-X ; Conseiller scientifique, CEPII |
Speakers |
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| Laurent
Berrebi |
Groupama
Asset Management |
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| Patrick Artus |
Ixis Corporate
and Investment Bank - Groupe Caisse d’Epargne |
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| Vladimir Borgy |
CEPII |
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| Round
Table - The Behaviour of Actors and Public Authorities |
11:15 - 12:45 |
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| Philippe Goubeault |
GIE ARGIC
ARRCO |
Speakers |
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| Hubert
Reynier |
Direction
de la régulation et des affaires internationales |
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| André
Icard |
Banque
des règlements internationaux |
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| Franco
Bruni |
Bocconi
University |
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| Lionel Fontagné |
CEPII |
Conclusion |
12:45 - 13:00 |
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