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N° 219 |
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| January 2003 |
| Europe's Demographic Evolution
Through to the Year 2050 |
| Rakhsat Sleiman |
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| The baby-boom generations that expanded the
working populations of Europe's principal countries for thirty years are about
to enter retirement. This is a transitory phenomenon. But falling fertility rates
and longer life expectancy over the next half-century will restrict demographic
growth to the retired population. In the majority of the seven countries studied
here, the fall in the working populations and the number of young people will
be sufficiently large to lead to a reduction in population sizes, that in some
cases will be significant. Accompanying such baseline projections, alternative
forecasts assuming higher fertility rates or immigration highlight the inertia
of demographic trends and the inevitable tendency of workforces to fall relative
to retirees. |
Abstract |
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